## Junior Female Researchers in Probability - CANCELED -

## Designing markets to improve their qualities

## A Myopic Adjustment Process for Mean Field Games with Finite State and Action Space

## Deep Optimal Stopping

## The entry and exit game in the electricity markets: a mean-field game approach

## Mean Field Utility Maximization Game with Partial Information

We study a mean field utility maximization game, where each player manages a stock whose return process depends on a hidden factor, which cannot be observed by the manager. The manager needs to infer the return process and rewrite the dynamics of the stock price based on the information available to her. Moreover, each manager is concerned not only with her own terminal wealth but also with the relative performance of her competitiors. We use the probabilistic approach to consider exponential and power utilities. Due to the mean field interaction and the nature of the game, the FBSDE systems characterizing the equilibria of our problem become coupled mean-field FBSDEs with possibly quadratic growth. We establish the well-posedness result of the mean-field FBSDEs in some suitable BMO space; firstly we work on a short time interval and secondly the local solution is extended to an arbitrary interval by considering the corresponding variational FBSDEs.

## Understanding the dual formulation for the hedging of path-dependent options with price impact

We consider a general path-dependent version of the hedging problem with price impact of Bouchard et al. (2019), in which a dual formulation for the super-hedging price is obtained by means of PDE arguments, in a Markovian setting and under strong regularity conditions. Using only probabilistic arguments, we prove, in a path-dependent setting and under weak regularity conditions, that any solution to this dual problem actually allows one to construct explicitly a perfect hedging portfolio. From a pure probabilistic point of view, our approach also allows one to exhibit solutions to a specific class of second order forward backward stochastic differential equations, in the sense of Cheridito et al. (2007). Existence of a solution to the dual optimal control problem is also addressed in particular settings. As a by-product of our arguments, we prove a version of Itô’s Lemma for path-dependent functionals that are only Cˆ{0,1} in the sense of Dupire.

## Some Explicit Results on Dynkin Games with Incomplete and Asymmetric Information

In this talk I will consider two types of Dynkin game with non-standard information structures. The first one is a zero-sum game between two players who observe a geometric Brownian motion but in which the minimiser knows the drift of the process whereas the maximiser doesn't know it. We construct an explicit Nash equilibrium in which the uninformed player uses a pure strategy and the informed player uses a randomised strategy. The second game is a non-zero sum game between two agents interested in the purchase of the same asset. Neither of the two players knows with certainty whether their competitor is `active' and in that sense that they have uncertain competition. Also in this case we construct explicitly a Nash equilibrium in which both players randomise their strategy.

## Dynamic trading under integer constraints

We first review results on arbitrage theory for some notions of "simple" strategies, which do not allow continuous portfolio rebalancing by arbitrary amounts. Then, the focus of the talk is on trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces and rational asset prices this has little effect on the core of the theory of no-arbitrage pricing. For price processes not restricted to the rational numbers, a novel theory of integer arbitrage free pricing and hedging emerges. We establish an FTAP, involving a set of absolutely continuous martingale measures satisfying an additional property. The set of prices of a contingent claim is not necessarily an interval, but is either empty or dense in an interval. We also discuss superhedging with integral portfolios. Joint work with Paul Eisenberg.

## The Mean Field Schrödinger Problem

I will introduce the mean field Schrödinger problem, concerned with finding the most likely evolution of a cloud of interacting Brownian particles conditionally on their initial and final configurations. New energy dissipation estimates are shown, yielding exponential convergence to equilibrium as the time between initial and final observations grows to infinity. The method reveals novel functional inequalities involving the mean field entropic cost, as well as an interesting connection with the theory of PDEs. (Joint work with Giovani Conforti, Ivan Gentil and Christian Léonard.)